Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elversberg vs Preussen Munster

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Conte B.
Assist: Zimmerschied T.
14' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
Assist: Gunther L.
59'
Sub
Yamada S. In: Lokotsch L.
Out: Yamada S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Elversberg and Preussen Munster finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Elversberg
15%
Draws
31%
Preussen Munster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 14%
Preussen Munster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg Preussen Munster
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Preussen Munster
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Preussen Munster vs Elversberg
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Preussen Munster
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Preussen Munster vs Elversberg
1:1
Feb 15, 2014 3. Liga
Preussen Munster vs Elversberg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokwa Ntusu D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Preussen Munster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg 84 / 100
Preussen Munster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg Preussen Munster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Preussen Munster has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Elversberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg VS Preussen Munster
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg

(Home)
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Preussen Munster

(Away)
16 Sept
Preussen Munster
3 : 3
Saarbrucken
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 2
Preussen Munster
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
30 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 1
Preussen Munster
21 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 2
Karlsruher
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)