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Elverum vs Brumunddal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Solum M.
60' Event
Nelsinho
66' Event
Nelsinho

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Elverum and Brumunddal finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Elverum
20%
Draws
29%
Brumunddal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Elverum taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Elverum Clean Sheet 68%
Brumunddal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Brumunddal
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 18 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.9 4.14
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Brumunddal vs Elverum
1:1
May 31, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Brumunddal
4:0
Jul 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Brumunddal vs Elverum
0:0
May 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Brumunddal
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 Division 3 - Group 2
Brumunddal vs Elverum
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Solum M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Brumunddal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 77 / 100
Brumunddal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Brumunddal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brumunddal has conceded goals in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Elverum has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Brumunddal
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 5.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 1
Elverum
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
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Brumunddal

(Away)
21 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 2
Sandefjord 2
12 Sept
Bjorkelangen
2 : 4
Brumunddal
05 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 1
Elverum
01 Sept
Gjovik-Lyn
5 : 0
Brumunddal
15 Aug
Brumunddal
2 : 4
Raelingen
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