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Elverum vs Rade

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hasanagic D.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Nelsinho
41'
Olofinjana F.

AI Match Summary

Rade in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 3-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elverum
6%
Draws
4%
Rade
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elverum lately — more wins on the board than Rade.
  • Elverum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Rade
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.63 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Rade
3:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boldvik O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasanagic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lajqi A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 83 / 100
Rade 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Rade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Rade has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Elverum has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Rade
2.63 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
27 Jun
Lillehammer
2 : 2
Elverum
20 Jun
Elverum
2 : 1
Oppsal
13 Jun
Orn
0 : 3
Elverum
31 May
Elverum
4 : 0
Brumunddal
25 May
Gjovik-Lyn
1 : 0
Elverum
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Rade

(Away)
28 Jun
Rade
3 : 5
Lyn 2
20 Jun
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 2
Rade
13 Jun
Rade
7 : 2
Raelingen
30 May
Lillehammer
8 : 1
Rade
26 May
Rade
5 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
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