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Elverum vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kouakou C.
33' Event
Nelsinho
71' Event
Magomadov T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Elverum and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elverum
6%
Draws
4%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Elverum taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elverum Clean Sheet 13%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magomadov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouakou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 84 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Elverum remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Sarpsborg 08 2
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%