Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Afan Lido in this FA Cup 2006/2007 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Afan Lido have won more games recently than Ely Rangers.
- Ely Rangers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Afan Lido arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Afan Lido, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Afan Lido have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 19%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ely Rangers | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido
1:2
Oct 17, 2009 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Ely Rangers
4:0
Feb 3, 2007 FAW Welsh Cup
Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ely Rangers 40 / 100
Afan Lido 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ely Rangers Afan Lido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Ely Rangers scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Afan Lido has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Ely Rangers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ely Rangers
(Home) 21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
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10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
12 May
Ely Rangers
3 : 2 Caldicot
08 May
Ely Rangers
2 : 0 Caerleon
05 May
Ely Rangers
0 : 4 Cardiff Corries
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Afan Lido
(Away) 11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
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11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1 Afan Lido
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Port Talbot 3
Bala 0
Ton Pentre 1
Rhyl 0
Caerleon 1
Ely Rangers 2
Afan Lido 3
Bodedern 0
Holyhead 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Bridgend Town 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Welshpool 2
Pontypridd United 1
Neath Athletic 3
Brymbo 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Llanelli 2
Newtown 2
Dinas Powys 0
Newport YMCA 1
Connahs Q. 3
Maesteg Park 0
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
West End 0
Caersws FC 3
Buckley 0
Porthmadog 2
Bangor City 0
Pwllheli 1
TNS 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Ton Pentre 1
Ely Rangers 1
Afan Lido 2
Holyhead 2
Bridgend Town 1
Welshpool 3
Neath Athletic 0
Llanelli 7
Newtown 0
Connahs Q. 3
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Caersws FC 0
Porthmadog 3
TNS 2
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 1
Holyhead 1
Welshpool 5
Llanelli 6
Connahs Q. 2
Carmarthen Town 2
Porthmadog 1
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 2
Welshpool 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Final
Afan Lido 2
Carmarthen Town 3
