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EM Mahdia vs Ksour Essef - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Beji A.
68' Event
Chaouech B.
74' Event
Chaouech B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between EM Mahdia and Ksour Essef finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EM Mahdia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
EM Mahdia
15%
Draws
45%
Ksour Essef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksour Essef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • EM Mahdia haven't matched Ksour Essef's recent run of results.
  • EM Mahdia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 16%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EM Mahdia Ksour Essef
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Club Friendly
EM Mahdia vs Ksour Essef
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EM Mahdia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaouech B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Beji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ksour Essef Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EM Mahdia 39 / 100
Ksour Essef 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EM Mahdia Ksour Essef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EM Mahdia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksour Essef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: EM Mahdia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

EM Mahdia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

EM Mahdia VS Ksour Essef
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

EM Mahdia

(Home)
03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1
Kerkennah
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2
EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3
Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0
EM Mahdia
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Ksour Essef

(Away)
04 Oct
Ksour Essef
1 : 0
CO Medenine
27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0
Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
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