Sport Picks
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil 
Match Events
28'
28'
Ruiz J.
Assist: Pizzini F.
45'
45'
Biojo R.
55'
55'
Sub
Herrera O. In: Carabali M.
Out: Herrera O.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Emelec and Mushuc Runa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mushuc Runa haven't matched Emelec's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Emelec's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Emelec Clean Sheet 20%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Emelec | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Emelec Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Mushuc Runa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Emelec 36 / 100
Mushuc Runa 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Emelec Mushuc Runa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Emelec scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Mushuc Runa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Emelec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Emelec VS Mushuc Runa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Emelec
(Home) 20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0 Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0 Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1 Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0 Manta
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2 Aucas
Page 1 of 3
Mushuc Runa
(Away) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3 Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
