Sport Picks
Emelec vs Tecnico U. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil 
Match Events
32'
32'
Klimowicz L.
44'
44'
Klimowicz L.
Assist: Fragozo L.
54'
54'
Sub
Caicedo W. In: Garcia C.
Out: Caicedo W.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Emelec and Tecnico U. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Emelec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tecnico U. come out ahead of Emelec on wins alone.
- Model gives Emelec a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Emelec have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Emelec Clean Sheet 68%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Emelec | Tecnico U. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Emelec
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Emelec
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Tecnico U.
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Tecnico U.
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Emelec Compare
Top Goalscorer Klimowicz L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tecnico U. Compare
Top Goalscorer Anaya J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Emelec 50 / 100
Tecnico U. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Emelec Tecnico U.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Emelec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tecnico U. conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Emelec found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Tecnico U. lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Emelec VS Tecnico U.
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Emelec
(Home) 10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2 Emelec
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0 Emelec
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0 Manta
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1 Emelec
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0 Manta
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2 Aucas
Page 1 of 3
Tecnico U.
(Away) 16 Oct
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1 Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0 Tecnico U.
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
