Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013

Extremadura UD

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Emerita Augusta play Extremadura UD in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Emerita Augusta averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Extremadura UD averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. In past meetings, Emerita Augusta won 0, Extremadura UD won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2013 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for Emerita Augusta and 0.80 for Extremadura UD. This points to a Extremadura UD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Emerita Augusta

15%

Draws

47%

Extremadura UD

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Extremadura UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Emerita Augusta picked up more points recently compared to Extremadura UD.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 26%

Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Emerita Augusta	Extremadura UD
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	7	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	19	26
Goals Scored	1.23	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.2	2.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Emerita Augusta vs Extremadura UD

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

1:5

Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Extremadura UD vs Emerita Augusta

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emerita Augusta 39 / 100

Extremadura UD 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Emerita Augusta Extremadura UD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Extremadura UD or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Emerita Augusta attacking → ← attacking Extremadura UD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emerita Augusta scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Extremadura UD let in goals in 89% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Emerita Augusta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Extremadura UD lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 28

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Extremadura UD	38	27	8	3	75:14	89
2	UD Badajoz	38	24	8	6	67:24	80
3	Don Benito	38	23	10	5	55:23	79
4	Diter Zafra	38	22	11	5	57:23	77
5	Jerez CF	38	16	11	11	51:37	59
6	Merida UD	38	15	11	12	47:38	56
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	15	10	13	50:38	55
8	UP Plasencia	38	15	10	13	55:47	55
9	Santa Amalia	38	15	8	15	52:54	53
10	CD Coria	38	14	9	15	47:48	51
11	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	14	6	18	44:58	48
12	Pueblonuevo	38	11	10	17	41:60	43
13	Miajadas	38	12	7	19	40:56	43
14	RCP Valverdeno	38	11	9	18	40:56	42
15	Hernan Cortes	38	11	8	19	36:64	41
16	Cacereno II	38	10	10	18	48:57	40
17	Fuente de Cantos	38	10	9	19	42:68	39
18	Moralo	38	7	17	14	33:52	38
19	Emerita Augusta	38	8	7	23	44:77	31
20	Valdelacalzada	38	7	7	24	35:65	28