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Emerita Augusta vs Merida UD Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merida UD in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merida UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Emerita Augusta
20%
Draws
46%
Merida UD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Merida UD have won more games recently than Emerita Augusta.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 10%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Emerita Augusta Merida UD
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 24
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Merida UD
0:1
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Emerita Augusta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Emerita Augusta 30 / 100
Merida UD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Emerita Augusta Merida UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Emerita Augusta found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Merida UD let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.

Emerita Augusta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merida UD
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Emerita Augusta

(Home)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
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Merida UD

(Away)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)