Sport Picks
Emerita Augusta vs Pueblonuevo
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Emerita Augusta and Pueblonuevo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Emerita Augusta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pueblonuevo come out ahead of Emerita Augusta on wins alone.
- Emerita Augusta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 19%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Emerita Augusta | Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Pueblonuevo
1:1
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Emerita Augusta
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Emerita Augusta 85 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Emerita Augusta Pueblonuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Emerita Augusta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pueblonuevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Emerita Augusta scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Emerita Augusta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pueblonuevo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Emerita Augusta
(Home) 19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0 Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4 Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1 Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1 Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0 Emerita Augusta
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12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4 Cacereno II
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1 Merida UD
14 Apr
Emerita Augusta
5 : 1 Santa Amalia
28 Mar
Emerita Augusta
1 : 5 Extremadura UD
17 Mar
Emerita Augusta
1 : 2 UD Badajoz
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Pueblonuevo
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
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20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
19 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
