Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Empoli U19 vs Bari U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026 Centro Sportivo di Petroio, Vinci
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Fiorini P.
37' Event
Keita S.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Empoli U19 and Bari U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Empoli U19
20%
Draws
28%
Bari U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Empoli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Empoli U19 come out ahead of Bari U19 on wins alone.
  • Empoli U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Empoli U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Empoli U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli U19 Bari U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Empoli U19
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Empoli U19 vs Bari U19
1:1
Apr 29, 2017 Primavera - Group B
Bari U19 vs Empoli U19
0:2
Dec 17, 2016 Primavera - Group B
Empoli U19 vs Bari U19
4:2
Apr 2, 2016 Primavera - Group C
Bari U19 vs Empoli U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiorini P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli U19 85 / 100
Bari U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli U19 Bari U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Empoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli U19's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bari U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Empoli U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Empoli U19 VS Bari U19
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli U19

(Home)
18 May
Empoli U19
4 : 1
Como U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Empoli U19
3 : 1
Pisa U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Empoli U19
4 : 0
Spezia U19
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Bari U19

(Away)
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Avellino U19
1 : 1
Bari U19
11 Apr
Bari U19
2 : 2
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)