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Empoli U20 vs Atalanta U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Empoli U20 host Atalanta U20 in the Primavera 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Empoli U20 have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Atalanta U20's 1.42 scored and 1.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Atalanta U20 slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.53 - 1.06) back Atalanta U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Empoli U20
30%
Draws
35%
Atalanta U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Empoli U20 haven't matched Atalanta U20's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Empoli U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atalanta U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Empoli U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli U20 Atalanta U20
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Primavera 1
Empoli U20 vs Atalanta U20
0:1
Jan 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Primavera
Atalanta U20 vs Empoli U20
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Primavera 1
Atalanta U20 vs Empoli U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli U20 49 / 100
Atalanta U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli U20 Atalanta U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Empoli U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Empoli U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Empoli U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Atalanta U20 conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Empoli U20 VS Atalanta U20
1.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli U20

(Home)
10 Oct
AS Roma U20
1 : 1
Empoli U20
19 Sept
Empoli U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
06 Sept
Empoli U20
3 : 3
Cesena U20
29 Aug
Inter U20
2 : 2
Empoli U20
Page 1 of 6

Atalanta U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Atalanta U20
2 : 0
AC Milan U20
20 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Atalanta U20
13 Sept
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
Torino U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
2 Parma U20 6 3 3 0 12:6 12
3 AS Roma U20 6 3 3 0 10:6 12
4 Bologna U20 6 4 0 2 16:13 12
5 Empoli U20 6 3 3 0 10:7 12
6 Genoa U20 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Lazio U20 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
8 Cesena U20 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
9 Cagliari U20 6 2 2 2 9:13 8
10 Lecce U20 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
11 Verona U20 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
12 Sassuolo U20 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
13 AC Milan U20 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
14 Como U20 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Atalanta U20 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
16 Torino U20 6 1 2 3 13:15 5
17 Monza U20 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
18 Fiorentina U20 6 0 4 2 6:8 4
19 Albinoleffe U20 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
20 Juventus U20 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)