Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Empoli vs Entella

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guiu B.
Assist: Mezzoni F.
20'
Guarino G.
46'
Sub
Fila D. In: Nasti M.
Out: Fila D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Empoli
39%
Draws
31%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Empoli average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Entella's 0.88.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Empoli Clean Sheet 68%
Entella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Entella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Entella
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Entella
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Serie B
Entella vs Empoli
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Entella
1:2
Mar 20, 2021 Serie B
Empoli vs Entella
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnino L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Guiu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 41 / 100
Entella 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Entella conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Empoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Entella
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
25 Apr
Venezia
2 : 0
Empoli
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Entella

(Away)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)