Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Empoli vs Entella

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guiu B.
Assist: Mezzoni F.
20'
Guarino G.
46'
Sub
Fila D. In: Nasti M.
Out: Fila D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Empoli
20%
Draws
36%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Empoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Entella have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Empoli Clean Sheet 21%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Entella
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Entella
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Entella
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Serie B
Entella vs Empoli
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Entella
1:2
Mar 20, 2021 Serie B
Empoli vs Entella
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnino L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Guiu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 37 / 100
Entella 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Entella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Entella conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Empoli found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Empoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Entella
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Entella

(Away)
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)