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Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC Prediction & H2H Stats

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mongelos A.
44' Event
Dramane D.
45' Event
Balbuena E.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Encarnacion FC and Independiente FBC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente FBC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Encarnacion FC
15%
Draws
54%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente FBC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Independiente FBC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Encarnacion FC Clean Sheet 17%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Encarnacion FC Independiente FBC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Encarnacion FC
1:0
May 23, 2026 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
2:3
Jul 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
3:0
Mar 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Encarnacion FC
1:0
Oct 7, 2024 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Independiente FBC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Encarnacion FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mongelos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balbuena E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dramane D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendoza E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Encarnacion FC 28 / 100
Independiente FBC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Encarnacion FC Independiente FBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente FBC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Encarnacion FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Encarnacion FC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Encarnacion FC VS Independiente FBC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Encarnacion FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Encarnacion FC
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Encarnacion FC
1 : 1
Tacuary
05 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
0 : 2
Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6

Independiente FBC

(Away)
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
2 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
3 12 de Junio 26 14 7 5 35:26 49
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 26 11 5 10 31:38 38
7 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
8 Paraguari AC 26 10 5 11 35:35 35
9 Fernando de la Mora 26 9 7 10 30:35 34
10 Atletico Tembetary 26 9 6 11 36:40 33
11 Resistencia 26 8 8 10 28:32 32
12 Deportivo Capiata 26 6 10 10 30:36 28
13 3 de Noviembre 26 6 8 12 33:39 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 26 4 12 10 28:40 24
16 Encarnacion FC 26 6 4 16 25:36 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)