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Energetik Pavlodar vs Batyr Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Energetik Pavlodar play Batyr Ekibastuz in the First Division 2007. Energetik Pavlodar are favorites here. Recently, Energetik Pavlodar averaged 2.97 goals scored and 0.46 conceded. Batyr Ekibastuz averaged 0.47 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Energetik Pavlodar won 3, Batyr Ekibastuz won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 14, 2007 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Energetik Pavlodar and 0.38 for Batyr Ekibastuz. This points to a Energetik Pavlodar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Energetik Pavlodar
21%
Draws
9%
Batyr Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Energetik Pavlodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Energetik Pavlodar picked up more points recently compared to Batyr Ekibastuz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Energetik Pavlodar Clean Sheet 32%
Batyr Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Energetik Pavlodar Batyr Ekibastuz
Matches Played 37 36
Wins 31 2
Draws 3 10
Losses 3 24
Goals Scored 2.97 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.46 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2007 First League
Energetik Pavlodar vs Batyr Ekibastuz
5:0
Jul 11, 2007 First League
Batyr Ekibastuz vs Energetik Pavlodar
0:1
Oct 19, 2005 First League
Energetik Pavlodar vs Batyr Ekibastuz
9:0
May 9, 2005 First League
Batyr Ekibastuz vs Energetik Pavlodar
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Energetik Pavlodar 69 / 100
Batyr Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Energetik Pavlodar Batyr Ekibastuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Energetik Pavlodar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Energetik Pavlodar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Energetik Pavlodar attacking → ← attacking Batyr Ekibastuz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Energetik Pavlodar scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Batyr Ekibastuz let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Energetik Pavlodar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Batyr Ekibastuz lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

96 Points in last 5 16
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210