Sport Picks
Energetik Pavlodar vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
Kazakhstan
First Division 2005 
AI Match Summary
The First Division 2005 game between Energetik Pavlodar and Ertis Pavlodar 2 finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Energetik Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Energetik Pavlodar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Energetik Pavlodar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Energetik Pavlodar taking it.
- Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Energetik Pavlodar here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Energetik Pavlodar Clean Sheet 20%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Energetik Pavlodar | Ertis Pavlodar 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 38 |
| Wins | 30 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2007 First League
Energetik Pavlodar vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
4:0
Jul 14, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Energetik Pavlodar
1:2
Nov 1, 2005 First League
Energetik Pavlodar vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
7:1
May 6, 2005 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Energetik Pavlodar
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Energetik Pavlodar 49 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Energetik Pavlodar Ertis Pavlodar 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Energetik Pavlodar scored in 92% of their last 36 outings.
H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.
Ertis Pavlodar 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 38 matches.
Recent resilience: Energetik Pavlodar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Energetik Pavlodar VS Ertis Pavlodar 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Energetik Pavlodar
(Home) 09 Nov
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 1 Energetik Pavlodar
05 Nov
Energetik Pavlodar
1 : 1 Megasport Almaty
01 Nov
Energetik Pavlodar
1 : 1 Kazakhmys
22 Oct
Spartak Semey
1 : 0 Energetik Pavlodar
19 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
1 : 3 Energetik Pavlodar
Page 1 of 8
05 Nov
Energetik Pavlodar
1 : 1 Megasport Almaty
01 Nov
Energetik Pavlodar
1 : 1 Kazakhmys
11 Oct
Energetik Pavlodar
3 : 0 Rakhat Astana
01 Oct
Energetik Pavlodar
1 : 0 Aksu
28 Sept
Energetik Pavlodar
3 : 0 Avangard Petropavlovsk
Page 1 of 4
Ertis Pavlodar 2
(Away) 26 Oct
Tobol 2
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
22 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
5 : 2 Aksu
19 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 2 Avangard Petropavlovsk
11 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
01 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
4 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy 2
Page 1 of 8
26 Oct
Tobol 2
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
11 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
19 Sept
Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar 2
16 Sept
Shakhter Yunost
2 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
14 Aug
Rakhat Astana
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar 2
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 51:10 | 55 |
| 2 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 70:23 | 48 |
| 4 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30:26 | 42 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 36 |
| 6 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40:48 | 31 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 9 | AI-Universitet | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | 18 |
| 11 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:65 | 12 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14:42 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109:7 | 66 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 76:17 | 59 |
| 3 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 60:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Ayat Rudnyi | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 28:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 30:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Eurasia Astana | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 8 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Aksu | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 22:43 | 24 |
| 10 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25:52 | 22 |
| 11 | Spartak Semey 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:59 | 21 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar Academy | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Bolat | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12:44 | 19 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)