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England U16 vs Italy U16

World World

Friendly International 2024 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tiozzo M.
31' Event
Gomes Rodriguez A.
84' Event
Ibragimov A.

AI Match Summary

England U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
England U16
15%
Draws
49%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to England U16 lately — more wins on the board than Italy U16.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
England U16 Clean Sheet 15%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.28 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
5:0
Aug 27, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
2:3
Apr 12, 2024 Friendly International
England U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
Aug 24, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
1:1
Aug 22, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibragimov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiozzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U16 30 / 100
Italy U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U16 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Italy U16 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

England U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U16 VS Italy U16
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England U16

(Home)
30 Oct
England U16
5 : 1
Wales U16
21 Apr
Vendee selection U17
1 : 3
England U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
17 Apr
England U16
0 : 3
Mexico U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
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Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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