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Stadium Background

England U19 vs Portugal U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Deeside Stadium, Deeside
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rigg C.
11'
Sub
Tome O. In: Duarte R.
Out: Tome O.
27'
Rigg C.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2025 game between England U19 and Portugal U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
England U19
30%
Draws
23%
Portugal U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: England U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U19 come out ahead of Portugal U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans England U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors England U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
England U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Portugal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U19 Portugal U19
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.68 2
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs England U19
0:6
Mar 25, 2025 Euro U19
England U19 vs Portugal U19
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Friendly International
England U19 vs Portugal U19
1:2
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U19
England U19 vs Portugal U19
2:0
Oct 11, 2018 Friendly International
Portugal U19 vs England U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigg C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portugal U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U19 85 / 100
Portugal U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U19 Portugal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U19 scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Portugal U19 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

England U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U19 VS Portugal U19
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

England U19

(Home)
25 Sept
England U19
1 : 0
Ireland U19
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
31 Mar
Croatia U19
0 : 2
England U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 3
Spain U19
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U19

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
06 Jun
Portugal U19
0 : 0
Greece U19
03 Jun
Portugal U19
1 : 1
Kazakhstan U19
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
28 Mar
Portugal U19
1 : 1
Serbia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Austria U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iceland U19 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro U19 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Czech Republic U19 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
3 Luxembourg U19 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Croatia U19 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Serbia U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Israel U19 3 0 0 3 5:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Italy U19 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 France U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Latvia U19 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Ireland U19 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Wales U19 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkey U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Main)