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England U21 vs Austria U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Kenilworth Road, Luton
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Delap L.
25' Event
Rogers M.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Ballo T.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
England U21
6%
Draws
4%
Austria U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Austria U21 haven't matched England U21's recent run of results.
  • England U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and England U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
England U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Austria U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Austria U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
England U21 vs Austria U21
4:1
Sep 8, 2020 Euro U21
Austria U21 vs England U21
1:2
Oct 15, 2019 Euro U21
England U21 vs Austria U21
5:1
Mar 25, 2013 Friendly International
England U21 vs Austria U21
4:0
Oct 7, 2005 Euro U21
England U21 vs Austria U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogers M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McAtee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Austria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 85 / 100
Austria U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Austria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: England U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Austria U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Austria U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
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Austria U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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