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England U21 vs Germany U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Tehelné pole, Bratislava
Sat, Jun 28, 2025
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Elliott H.
24' Event
Hutchinson O.
Assist: McAtee J.
37'
Martel E.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Euro U21 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
England U21
39%
Draws
31%
Germany U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany U21 lately — more wins on the board than England U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Germany U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor England U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
England U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Germany U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.63 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Euro U21
England U21 vs Germany U21
3:2
Jun 18, 2025 Euro U21
England U21 vs Germany U21
1:2
Jun 28, 2023 Euro U21
England U21 vs Germany U21
2:0
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
England U21 vs Germany U21
3:1
Mar 26, 2019 Friendly International
England U21 vs Germany U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchinson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiper N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nebel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 29 / 100
Germany U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Germany U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: England U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Germany U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Germany U21
2.63 Goals Scored 3.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 7

Germany U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U211
England U213
Portugal U210
Netherlands U211
Germany U213
Italy U212
Denmark U212
France U213
Semi-finals
England U212
Netherlands U211
Germany U213
France U210
Final
England U213
Germany U212