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England U21 vs Netherlands U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Tehelné pole, Bratislava
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Anderson E.
46'
Sub
Kasanwirjo N. In: Goes W.
Out: Kasanwirjo N.
63' Event
Elliott H.
Assist: Anderson E.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Euro U21 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
England U21
15%
Draws
35%
Netherlands U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • England U21 have won more games recently than Netherlands U21.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on England U21 taking it.
  • England U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor England U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
England U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Netherlands U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.9 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Euro U21
England U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:1
Nov 18, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
1:1
Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
2:1
Sep 6, 2018 Euro U21
England U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:0
Sep 1, 2017 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohio N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 85 / 100
Netherlands U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Netherlands U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: England U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Netherlands U21 conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Netherlands U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands U21

(Away)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U21 1
England U21 3
Portugal U21 0
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
Italy U21 2
Denmark U21 2
France U21 3
Semi-finals
England U21 2
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
France U21 0
Final
England U21 3
Germany U21 2