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England U23 W vs France U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Goodwin I.
46'
Sub
Fazer L. In: Ouchene S.
Out: Fazer L.
59'
Sub
Goodwin I. In: Agyemang M.
Out: Goodwin I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between England U23 W and France U23 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
England U23 W
6%
Draws
4%
France U23 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: England U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U23 W come out ahead of France U23 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans England U23 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and England U23 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 13%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W France U23 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs England U23 W
0:1
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs France U23 W
1:0
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs England U23 W
0:1
Apr 5, 2019 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs France U23 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

France U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 84 / 100
France U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W France U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

France U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: England U23 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS France U23 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

England U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
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France U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
France U23 W
1 : 2
USA U20 W
05 Jun
USA U20 W
5 : 0
France U23 W
16 Apr
France U23 W
3 : 4
USA U23 W
12 Apr
France U23 W
1 : 0
Scotland U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
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