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England U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Goodwin I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between England U23 W and Netherlands U23 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
England U23 W
30%
Draws
23%
Netherlands U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: England U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands U23 W come out ahead of England U23 W on wins alone.
  • England U23 W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
England U23 W Clean Sheet 68%
Netherlands U23 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U23 W Netherlands U23 W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.09 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Friendly International Women
England U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1
Feb 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs England U23 W
1:1
Apr 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs England U23 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Netherlands U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U23 W 77 / 100
Netherlands U23 W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U23 W Netherlands U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U23 W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Netherlands U23 W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: England U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England U23 W VS Netherlands U23 W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
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Netherlands U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
France U23 W
2 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
17 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
2 : 1
Norway U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
10 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
1 : 1
USA U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
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