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England vs Czech Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Wembley Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Coufal V.
Own Goal
40' Event
Kane H.
Assist: Rogers M.
46'
Sub
Lingr O. In: Radosta M.
Out: Lingr O.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between England and Czech Republic finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
England
15%
Draws
0%
Czech Republic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • England carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on England taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • England have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
England Clean Sheet 68%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England Czech Republic
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 29 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.27 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
England vs Czech Republic
3:0
Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs England
0:2
Jun 22, 2021 Euro
Czech Republic vs England
0:1
Oct 11, 2019 Euro
Czech Republic vs England
2:1
Mar 22, 2019 Euro
England vs Czech Republic
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Czech Republic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 95 / 100
Czech Republic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England Czech Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Czech Republic lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Czech Republic let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

England VS Czech Republic
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 8

Czech Republic

(Away)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1
Czech Republic
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)