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England vs D.R. Congo

World World

World Championship 2026 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cipenga B.
Assist: Mbemba Ch.
19'
Bellingham J.
28'
Sadiki N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with England advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
England
15%
Draws
21%
D.R. Congo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • D.R. Congo haven't matched England's recent run of results.
  • Model gives England a 64% chance of winning this.
  • England have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor England, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
England Clean Sheet 68%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England D.R. Congo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 World Championship
England vs D.R. Congo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cipenga B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 95 / 100
D.R. Congo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: England scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

England went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: D.R. Congo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

England VS D.R. Congo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
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D.R. Congo

(Away)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6