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England vs New Zealand

World World

Friendly International Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kane H.
Assist: Spence D.
46'
Sub
Pickford J. In: Trafford J.
Out: Pickford J.
46'
Sub
Henderson J. In: Bellingham J.
Out: Henderson J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between England and New Zealand finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
England
20%
Draws
29%
New Zealand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England come out ahead of New Zealand on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans England's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors England here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
England Clean Sheet 68%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England New Zealand
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.41 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
England vs New Zealand
1:0
Jun 8, 1991 Friendly International
New Zealand vs England
0:2
Jun 3, 1991 Friendly International
New Zealand vs England
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

New Zealand Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 59 / 100
New Zealand 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England New Zealand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

New Zealand let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: England stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

England VS New Zealand
2.13 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
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New Zealand

(Away)
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
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