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England W vs Australia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Pride Park, Derby
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kennedy A.
20' Event
Beever-Jones A.
Assist: Bronze L.
40' Event
Bronze L.
Assist: Toone E.

AI Match Summary

England W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored England W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
England W
15%
Draws
36%
Australia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England W have won more games recently than Australia W.
  • Model gives England W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
England W Clean Sheet 16%
Australia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England W Australia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
England W vs Australia W
3:0
Aug 16, 2023 World Cup Women
Australia W vs England W
1:3
Apr 11, 2023 Friendly International Women
England W vs Australia W
0:2
Oct 9, 2018 Friendly International Women
England W vs Australia W
1:1
Oct 27, 2015 Friendly International Women
England W vs Australia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beever-Jones A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bronze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Australia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England W 41 / 100
Australia W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England W Australia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Australia W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

England W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

England W VS Australia W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
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Australia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
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