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ENH Vilankulo vs AD Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo Logo

ENH Vilankulo

1 - 0
FT
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between ENH Vilankulo and AD Pemba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ENH Vilankulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ENH Vilankulo
15%
Draws
51%
AD Pemba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • AD Pemba haven't matched ENH Vilankulo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ENH Vilankulo AD Pemba
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.56
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs AD Pemba
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mocambola
AD Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ENH Vilankulo 31 / 100
AD Pemba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ENH Vilankulo AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ENH Vilankulo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

AD Pemba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

ENH Vilankulo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ENH Vilankulo VS AD Pemba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ENH Vilankulo

(Home)
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

AD Pemba

(Away)
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 20 9 7 4 23:15 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 18 9 4 5 21:21 31
5 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
6 UD Songo 20 6 10 4 21:16 28
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 18 8 4 6 16:15 28
8 Ferroviario Nacala 18 6 5 7 11:14 23
9 Baia de Pemba 18 5 7 6 10:12 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
11 AD Pemba 18 6 2 10 10:19 20
12 Sofala 20 4 6 10 10:22 18
13 Chingale de Tete 20 2 6 12 5:18 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
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