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ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between ENH Vilankulo and Baia de Pemba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ENH Vilankulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
ENH Vilankulo
15%
Draws
53%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia de Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ENH Vilankulo come out ahead of Baia de Pemba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ENH Vilankulo Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba
2:0
Jun 18, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
2:2
Nov 24, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ENH Vilankulo 31 / 100
Baia de Pemba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ENH Vilankulo Baia de Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ENH Vilankulo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Baia de Pemba has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: ENH Vilankulo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ENH Vilankulo VS Baia de Pemba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ENH Vilankulo

(Home)
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

Baia de Pemba

(Away)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 18 8 4 6 16:15 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 AD Pemba 18 6 2 10 10:19 20
11 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
12 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
13 Chingale de Tete 20 2 6 12 5:18 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
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