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Ensenada FC vs Zapotlanejo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Lopez Y.

AI Match Summary

Zapotlanejo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zapotlanejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ensenada FC
39%
Draws
30%
Zapotlanejo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ensenada FC lately — more wins on the board than Zapotlanejo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ensenada FC Zapotlanejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ensenada FC vs Zapotlanejo
0:1
Nov 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs Ensenada FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ensenada FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zapotlanejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ensenada FC 30 / 100
Zapotlanejo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ensenada FC Zapotlanejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zapotlanejo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ensenada FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Zapotlanejo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ensenada FC VS Zapotlanejo
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ensenada FC

(Home)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Ensenada FC
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
21 Mar
Alacranes de Durango
6 : 0
Ensenada FC
17 Mar
Ensenada FC
6 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
07 Mar
Colima FC
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
Page 1 of 6

Zapotlanejo

(Away)
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
05 Apr
Zapotlanejo
1 : 3
Colima FC
29 Mar
Ensenada FC
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
15 Mar
Zapotlanejo
0 : 3
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)