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Envigado vs Atletico F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Valencia A.
40'
Angulo K.
42'
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Envigado and Atletico F.C. finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Envigado
35%
Draws
24%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico F.C. haven't matched Envigado's recent run of results.
  • Envigado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Envigado have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Envigado Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Atletico F.C.
3:0
Apr 6, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Envigado
1:2
Feb 22, 2023 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Atletico F.C.
3:0
Feb 15, 2023 Copa Colombia
Atletico F.C. vs Envigado
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa Valencia J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marulanda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 85 / 100
Atletico F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Envigado remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Envigado scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Atletico F.C.
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
Page 1 of 6

Atletico F.C.

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)