Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Patriotas

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Aristizabal J.
36'
Palomeque D.
38' Event
Gamboa Valencia J. J.

AI Match Summary

Envigado in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Envigado
30%
Draws
52%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Envigado have won more games recently than Patriotas.
  • Win probability leans Envigado's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Patriotas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Patriotas
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Primera A
Patriotas vs Envigado
2:0
Feb 27, 2024 Primera A
Envigado vs Patriotas
1:0
Oct 7, 2022 Primera A
Envigado vs Patriotas
3:2
Apr 19, 2022 Primera A
Patriotas vs Envigado
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa Valencia J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuervo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Patriotas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 46 / 100
Patriotas 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Patriotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Patriotas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Patriotas

(Away)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)