Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Epila vs Sarinena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Epila
30%
Draws
29%
Sarinena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Epila have won more games recently than Sarinena.
  • Model gives Epila a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Epila Clean Sheet 20%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Sarinena
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 27 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Sarinena
1:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Epila
1:2
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Sarinena
0:2
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Epila
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 36 / 100
Sarinena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Sarinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Epila's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Sarinena has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Epila remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Epila VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Epila

(Home)
27 Sept
Epila
1 : 3
La Almunia
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
Page 1 of 8

Sarinena

(Away)
02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2
UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0
Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1
Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 22 15 4 3 34:11 49
2 Huesca B 22 13 6 3 36:18 45
3 CD Belchite 97 22 8 11 3 22:9 35
4 Zaragoza B 22 8 10 4 32:14 34
5 CF Illueca 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Binefar 22 8 8 6 29:17 32
7 Atletico Monzon 22 7 10 5 26:19 31
8 CD Carinena 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Tamarite 22 6 7 9 19:29 25
10 Valdefierro 22 6 4 12 20:36 22
11 Fraga 22 5 7 10 17:21 22
12 San Juan Zaragoza 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brea 22 12 6 4 34:12 42
2 CD Cuarte 22 11 6 5 32:21 39
3 Utebo FC 22 9 10 3 21:15 37
4 UD Barbastro 22 9 9 4 27:18 36
5 Borja 22 8 7 7 29:23 31
6 Calamocha 22 7 9 6 24:19 30
7 Sarinena 22 8 5 9 36:36 29
8 Epila 22 5 11 6 23:23 26
9 Robres 22 6 8 8 23:31 26
10 Almudevar 22 4 10 8 17:32 22
11 Villanueva CF 22 4 6 12 16:39 18
12 Sabinanigo 22 3 5 14 24:37 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)