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Epila vs Villanueva CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Epila play Villanueva CF in the Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021. Epila are favorites here. Recently, Epila averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. Villanueva CF averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Epila won 2, Villanueva CF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Epila and 0.94 for Villanueva CF. This points to a Epila double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Epila
24%
Draws
19%
Villanueva CF
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Epila picked up more points recently compared to Villanueva CF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Epila Clean Sheet 24%
Villanueva CF Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epila Villanueva CF
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Villanueva CF
4:0
Jan 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Villanueva CF vs Epila
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epila 56 / 100
Villanueva CF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epila Villanueva CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Epila & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Epila attacking → ← attacking Villanueva CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Epila scored in 80% of their last 41 games.

Villanueva CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Epila went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villanueva CF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

85 Points in last 5 28
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Teruel22154334:1149
2Huesca B22136336:1845
3CD Belchite 9722811322:935
4Zaragoza B22810432:1434
5CF Illueca2297623:1634
6Binefar2288629:1732
7Atletico Monzon22710526:1931
8CD Carinena2276921:2327
9Tamarite2267919:2925
10Valdefierro22641220:3622
11Fraga22571017:2122
12San Juan Zaragoza2200220:660
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brea22126434:1242
2CD Cuarte22116532:2139
3Utebo FC22910321:1537
4UD Barbastro2299427:1836
5Borja2287729:2331
6Calamocha2279624:1930
7Sarinena2285936:3629
8Epila22511623:2326
9Robres2268823:3126
10Almudevar22410817:3222
11Villanueva CF22461216:3918
12Sabinanigo22351424:3714