Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Epitsentr vs Shakhtar

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Tonkocheyev Stadium, Kamianets-Podilskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Pedrinho In: Nazaryna Y.
Out: Pedrinho
46'
Sub
Nene In: Ceberio J.
Out: Nene
49' Event
Ocheretko O.
Assist: Mendoza G.

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Epitsentr
20%
Draws
52%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhtar lately — more wins on the board than Epitsentr.
  • Model gives Shakhtar a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shakhtar here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Epitsentr Clean Sheet 20%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Epitsentr Shakhtar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Epitsentr vs Shakhtar
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Epitsentr
5:0
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Epitsentr vs Shakhtar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Epitsentr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocheretko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nazaryna Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Epitsentr 28 / 100
Shakhtar 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Epitsentr Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Epitsentr's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Epitsentr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shakhtar has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Epitsentr VS Shakhtar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Epitsentr

(Home)
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
14 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0
Epitsentr
09 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
0 : 3
Epitsentr
06 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 0
Bukovyna
29 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 3
Epitsentr
Page 1 of 6

Shakhtar

(Away)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)