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World

World Championship 2026 Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Equatorial Guinea

2 - 0

Sao Tome and Principe

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Nsue E.

Assist: Salvador I.

17'

Salvador I.

Assist: Machin J.

32'

Orozco E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome and Principe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equatorial Guinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Equatorial Guinea

Draws

Sao Tome and Principe

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Equatorial Guinea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sao Tome and Principe haven't matched Equatorial Guinea's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Equatorial Guinea taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 68%

Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Equatorial Guinea	Sao Tome and Principe
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	3
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	22
Goals Scored	0.88	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Sao Tome and Principe vs Equatorial Guinea

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

2:3

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Equatorial Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsue E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salvador I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Equatorial Guinea 95 / 100

Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Equatorial Guinea Sao Tome and Principe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Tome and Principe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Tome and Principe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Equatorial Guinea's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Equatorial Guinea VS Sao Tome and Principe

0.88 Goals Scored 0.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.67

75% Over 1.5 67%

38% Over 2.5 67%

13% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1