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Erakor Golden Star vs Marist

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Guilherme
38' Event
Kaltack T.
55'
Kaltack M.

AI Match Summary

Erakor Golden Star in this OFC Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erakor Golden Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Erakor Golden Star
35%
Draws
40%
Marist
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marist lately — more wins on the board than Erakor Golden Star.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Erakor Golden Star Clean Sheet 16%
Marist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erakor Golden Star Marist
Matches Played 9 22
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2017 OFC Champions League
Erakor Golden Star vs Marist
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erakor Golden Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Marist Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erakor Golden Star 31 / 100
Marist 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erakor Golden Star Marist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erakor Golden Star found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (9 games).

Marist let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Erakor Golden Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erakor Golden Star VS Marist
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erakor Golden Star

(Home)
01 Mar
Erakor Golden Star
0 : 3
Team Wellington
26 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
1 : 1
Ba
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
18 Feb
Lossi
2 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
15 Feb
Erakor Golden Star
3 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 2

Marist

(Away)
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1
Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1
Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3
Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1
Magenta
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Central Sport 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Madang Fox 3 1 0 2 7:15 3
4 PNG Hekari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Hienghene Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ba 3 1 1 1 2:9 4
4 Puaikura 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Western United 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 8:9 3
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 0 3 3:18 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Marist 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Rewa 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)