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Erakor Golden Star vs Team Wellington

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Galvao D.
36'
Mitchell A.
51'
Coulon M.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Erakor Golden Star and Team Wellington finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erakor Golden Star
6%
Draws
90%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erakor Golden Star haven't matched Team Wellington's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Team Wellington's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Erakor Golden Star Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erakor Golden Star Team Wellington
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2019 OFC Champions League
Erakor Golden Star vs Team Wellington
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erakor Golden Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Allen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erakor Golden Star 10 / 100
Team Wellington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erakor Golden Star Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erakor Golden Star scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Defensive concern: Team Wellington conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Erakor Golden Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Team Wellington
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hienghene Sport32107:17
2Lae City31208:65
3Tefana30216:72
4Malampa Revivors30125:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Central Sport321012:47
2Henderson Eels320115:86
3Lautoka311112:84
4Morobe Wawens30030:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Team Wellington330018:09
2Ba31116:44
3Erakor Golden Star31113:44
4Kiwi30031:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City330023:19
2Magenta320114:36
3Solomon Warriors310210:103
4Tupapa30032:350