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Erbaaspor vs Ankaragucu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Guner A.
39' Event
Konuksever I.
Assist: Sener C.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 game between Erbaaspor and Ankaragucu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Erbaaspor
15%
Draws
46%
Ankaragucu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ankaragucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ankaragucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ankaragucu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ankaragucu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Ankaragucu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbaaspor Ankaragucu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Ankaragucu
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Ankaragucu vs Erbaaspor
1:0
Oct 31, 2018 Turkish Cup
Ankaragucu vs Erbaaspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Konuksever I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ankaragucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Guner A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 14 / 100
Ankaragucu 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbaaspor Ankaragucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ankaragucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erbaaspor scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ankaragucu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Erbaaspor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS Ankaragucu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbaaspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 6

Ankaragucu

(Away)
04 Oct
Ankaragucu
4 : 1
Inegolspor
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
19 Sept
Ankaragucu
1 : 1
Serik Spor
13 Sept
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 0
Ankaragucu
06 Sept
Ankaragucu
0 : 1
Ankara Demirspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 36 25 8 3 86:33 83
2 Muglaspor 36 21 9 6 51:19 72
3 Elazigspor 36 21 6 9 82:37 69
4 Adana 01 36 19 10 7 55:35 67
5 Sanliurfaspor 36 19 8 9 63:43 65
6 Ankaragucu 36 18 9 9 52:41 63
7 Inegolspor 36 16 12 8 67:44 60
8 Iskenderunspor 36 16 8 12 50:44 56
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 36 13 15 8 45:35 54
10 Ankaraspor 36 13 13 10 64:54 52
11 24Erzincanspor 36 15 6 15 55:49 51
12 Kastamonuspor 36 11 9 16 44:56 42
13 Karacabey Bld. 36 11 8 17 46:55 41
14 Altinordu 36 8 11 17 33:59 35
15 Erbaaspor 36 10 7 19 40:61 34
16 Beykoz Anadolu 36 8 6 22 37:66 30
17 Kepez Bld. 36 5 8 23 33:78 23
18 Karaman FK 36 4 9 23 30:86 21
19 Bucaspor 1928 36 4 8 24 38:76 17
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
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