Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017

Erbaaspor

4 - 1

Derincespor

Our Tip

Match Events

63'

Davas D.

71'

Kanoglu K.

77'

Ozel M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 game between Erbaaspor and Derincespor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erbaaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Erbaaspor

33%

Draws

27%

Derincespor

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Erbaaspor come out ahead of Derincespor on wins alone.
40% — that's where the model lands on Erbaaspor taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 20%

Derincespor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erbaaspor	Derincespor
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	10	4
Draws	7	9
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Erbaaspor vs Derincespor

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Dec 18, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Erbaaspor

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Davas D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kanoglu K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozel M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbaaspor 40 / 100

Derincespor 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erbaaspor Derincespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derincespor conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Derincespor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Erbaaspor scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Erbaaspor VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodrumspor	34	19	8	7	59:31	65
2	Erbaaspor	34	16	12	6	48:29	60
3	Silivrispor	34	16	10	8	34:25	58
4	Manisa FK	34	15	13	6	59:37	58
5	Catalca Spor	34	15	10	9	42:33	55
6	Duzcespor	34	14	12	8	55:46	54
7	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	15	8	11	46:39	53
8	Kirikhanspor	34	12	11	11	36:39	47
9	Kemerspor 2003	34	11	12	11	52:45	45
10	Yomraspor	34	10	14	10	28:29	44
11	Bucaspor 1928	34	11	10	13	41:46	43
12	Batman Petrolspor	34	11	10	13	38:38	43
13	Yesil Bursa	34	11	8	15	40:35	41
14	Dardanelspor	34	11	8	15	42:54	41
15	Pazarspor	34	11	6	17	34:46	39
16	Dersim Spor	34	9	6	19	33:54	33
17	Derincespor	34	5	11	18	31:59	26
18	Kirikkale FK	34	4	11	19	28:61	23