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Erbil vs Ajman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil
Erbil Logo

Erbil

Tue, Dec 8, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Ajman Logo

Ajman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erbil host Ajman in the Gulf Club Champions League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Erbil at 1.65 goals for, 0.92 against; Ajman at 1.79 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Ajman slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2026, ending 5:4. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.75, favoring Ajman. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Erbil
15%
Draws
59%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajman come out ahead of Erbil on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Erbil Clean Sheet 12%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbil Ajman
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.65 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Ajman vs Erbil
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbil 30 / 100
Ajman 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbil Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbil scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Ajman has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Erbil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erbil VS Ajman
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbil

(Home)
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
18 Oct
Erbil
0 : 1
Al Mosul
14 Oct
Ajman
5 : 4
Erbil
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

Ajman

(Away)
27 Oct
Kazma SC
1 : 2
Ajman
22 Oct
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Ajman
18 Oct
Ajman
1 : 3
Al Sharjah
14 Oct
Ajman
5 : 4
Erbil
09 Oct
Ajman
1 : 0
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Duhail 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Neom SC 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
3 Al Shabab 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Al Shabab Hadramaut 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Al Riffa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Al Zawraa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Qatar SC 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajman 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
2 Al Ettifaq FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Erbil 1 0 0 1 4:5 0
4 Kazma SC 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)