Sport Picks
Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
AI Match Summary
Erbil host Ghaz Al Shamal in the Stars League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Erbil have averaged 1.64 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Ghaz Al Shamal's 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.75) point toward Erbil. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Erbil carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Erbil a 26% chance of winning this.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erbil | Ghaz Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 10 |
| Wins | 15 | 2 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erbil's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ghaz Al Shamal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 10 matches.
Solid form: Erbil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Ghaz Al Shamal's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Erbil
(Home)Ghaz Al Shamal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
