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Erbil vs Kazma SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erbil host Kazma SC in the Gulf Club Champions League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kazma SC have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Erbil have conceded 0.92 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Erbil slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2012, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.06, favoring Erbil. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Erbil
20%
Draws
51%
Kazma SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kazma SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erbil come out ahead of Kazma SC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Erbil Clean Sheet 20%
Kazma SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erbil Kazma SC
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2012 AFC Cup
Kazma SC vs Erbil
1:2
Mar 6, 2012 AFC Cup
Erbil vs Kazma SC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erbil 32 / 100
Kazma SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erbil Kazma SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbil scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Kazma SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Erbil stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erbil VS Kazma SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erbil

(Home)
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
18 Oct
Erbil
0 : 1
Al Mosul
14 Oct
Ajman
5 : 4
Erbil
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

Kazma SC

(Away)
27 Oct
Kazma SC
1 : 2
Ajman
23 Oct
Kazma SC
2 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
19 Oct
Al Jahra
0 : 1
Kazma SC
14 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 0
Kazma SC
09 Oct
Kazma SC
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Duhail 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Neom SC 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
3 Al Shabab 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Al Shabab Hadramaut 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Al Riffa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Al Zawraa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Qatar SC 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajman 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
2 Al Ettifaq FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Erbil 1 0 0 1 4:5 0
4 Kazma SC 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)