Sport Picks
Erciyes 38 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 3 
Match Events
47'
47'
Yasa K.
62'
62'
Sahin O.
Assist: Yasak C.
79'
79'
Tosun M.
Assist: Sahin O.
AI Match Summary
Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
- Model gives Erciyes 38 a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 18%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erciyes 38 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Erciyes 38 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erciyes 38 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sahin O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tosun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erciyes 38 85 / 100
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erciyes 38 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Erciyes 38 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Erciyes 38 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Erciyes 38 VS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erciyes 38
(Home) 11 Oct
Erciyes 38
6 : 1 Adanaspor AS
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0 Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4 Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1 Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0 Erciyes 38
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Erciyes 38
6 : 1 Adanaspor AS
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0 Kahta
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1 Kirikkale FK
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4 Malatya
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
(Away) 11 Oct
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 1 Osmaniyespor
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
19 Apr
Isparta 32 Spor
3 : 0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malatya | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Nigde | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Karakopru | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Mazidagi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Erciyes 38 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Kirsehir SK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Bitlis 1916 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 8 | Agri 1970 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Adana Adaletgucu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 10 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Kirikkale FK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Silifke | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 13 | Osmaniyespor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 15 | Yozgat | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:18 | 3 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Adanaspor AS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:20 | 0 |
| 18 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0:18 | -3 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)
