Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ercsi vs Villanyi

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ercsi in this Hungarian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ercsi
15%
Draws
28%
Villanyi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ercsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ercsi lately — more wins on the board than Villanyi.
  • Ercsi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ercsi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ercsi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ercsi Clean Sheet 10%
Villanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ercsi Villanyi
Matches Played 8 5
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.75 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2021 Hungarian Cup
Ercsi vs Villanyi
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ercsi 83 / 100
Villanyi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ercsi Villanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ercsi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villanyi has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Ercsi's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Away concern: Villanyi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ercsi VS Villanyi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.6
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Ercsi

(Home)
24 Aug
Ercsi
2 : 7
Ivancsa
03 Aug
Marcali
2 : 3
Ercsi
06 Aug
Ercsi
1 : 2
Kaposvar
29 Aug
Ercsi
1 : 2
Sarosd NKSC
08 Aug
Ercsi
4 : 2
Villanyi
Page 1 of 2

Villanyi

(Away)
22 Aug
Epitok
2 : 3
Villanyi
03 Aug
Villanyi
1 : 2
Kelen
07 Feb
Majosi
5 : 2
Villanyi
08 Aug
Ercsi
4 : 2
Villanyi
21 Sept
Villanyi
0 : 8
Tiszaujvaros

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ersekvadkert 3
Karancslapujto 4
Monostorpalyi 4
Berkenye 2
Kadarkut 3
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Somogysard 2
Nagykanizsa FC 3
Haladas VSE 1
Menfocsanak 4
Taplan 0
Tatabanya 11
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
Siofok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Zsambek 3
Lipot 1
Kormend VSE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Jamina SE 1
Gyulai Termal 6
Tiszasziget 1
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Budai FC 0
Tordas 2
PVSK 1
Ivancsa 5
Koronco 5
Szentantalfa 2
Csolnoki 1
Sopron 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Mori SE 7
Csesztreg 3
Urkut 1
Komaromi VSE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Majosi 0
Pecsvarad 1
Szabadkikoto 0
Kelen 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Derecskei 1
Gyongyosi 4
Felsozsolca 1
Salgotarjani BTC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Tanakajd 1
Balatonalmadi 7
Janossomorja 1
VSC Veszprem 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
ENCS 0
Ibrany SE 4
Vac 3
Tiszaujvaros 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Nyiregyhaza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Albertirsai 0
Karcagi 1
CSO-Ki Sport 4
Jaszberenyi 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Balassagyarmat SE 4
Eger 1
Putnok VSE 2
Budaorsi SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasas -
Semjenhaza 1
Balatoni Vasas 0
Tokol 2
Szepetnek 1
Mosonszentmiklosi 0
Perbal 7
Teskand 3
Sarvari FC 1
Rakamaz 1
Hered 5
Hatvan FC 2
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Szegedi 3
Fuzesgyarmati 2
Kiskorosi 0
Dabas-Gyon 3
Mun SE 0
Csepel 3
Bataszek 1
Erdi 0
Taksony 2
Cegledi 10
Torokszentmiklos 2
BKV Elore 0
Gardony Varosi 0
Kaposvar 1
Szekszardi 1
Bicskei 3
Csenger 0
Kazincbarcika 0
Cigand SE 1
Hidasnemeti 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szolnoki MAV -
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Esztergom 0
Zalaszentgroti 7
Abda 3
Tihanyi 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
III. Keruleti TVE -
Fovarosi Vizmuvek SK 2
Szabadszallasi SE 3
Algyo SK 1
Gyomro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Janoshalmi 5
Kiskundorozsma 0
Monori 0
Rakosmenti KSK 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Balatonkeresztur 1
Bonyhad 2
Nagyatadi 3
Dunaujvaros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pecsi MFC -
Ercsi 4
Villanyi 2
Sarosd NKSC 1
Komloi 0
Ikarus 0
Hodmezovasarhely 4
Szarvasi 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorogi FC -
Rackeve 1
Kalocsai FC 0
Korosladany MSK 1
FC Dabas 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haladas -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Csornai 2
Balatonfuredi 4
Gyorujbarati 1
Papai Perutz 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Tiszakecske -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Nagydobosi 2
Tarpa 5
Debreceni EAC 3
Tiszafuredi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Senyo 7
Energia Gyongyos 2
Tallya 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/64-finals
Karancslapujto 2
Monostorpalyi 1
Kadarkut 0
Nagykanizsa FC 4
Menfocsanak 0
Tatabanya 1
TBD -
Soroksar -
Siofok -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Zsambek 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 2
TBD -
Gyor -
Gyulai Termal 0
BVSC-Zuglo 3
Tordas 0
Ivancsa 9
Koronco 1
Sopron 4
TBD -
Videoton -
Mori SE 1
Komaromi VSE 3
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Pecsvarad 2
Kelen 3
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Gyongyosi 2
Felsozsolca 3
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Balatonalmadi 2
VSC Veszprem 7
TBD -
Debrecen -
Ibrany SE 0
Vac 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Nyiregyhaza -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Karcagi 2
Jaszberenyi 3
Balassagyarmat SE 3
Putnok VSE 0
Budaorsi SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasas -
Semjenhaza 1
Tokol 5
Perbal 1
Teskand 4
Hered 0
Hatvan FC 4
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Szegedi 2
Dabas-Gyon 1
Csepel 4
Bataszek 0
Cegledi 5
Torokszentmiklos 2
Kaposvar 2
Bicskei 1
Kazincbarcika 4
Hidasnemeti 0
TBD -
Szolnoki MAV -
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Zalaszentgroti 3
Tihanyi 1
TBD -
III. Keruleti TVE -
Szabadszallasi SE 0
Gyomro 6
TBD -
Paks -
Janoshalmi 0
Monori 6
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bonyhad 3
Nagyatadi 2
TBD -
Pecsi MFC -
Ercsi 1
Sarosd NKSC 2
Hodmezovasarhely 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorogi FC -
Rackeve 1
FC Dabas 4
TBD -
Haladas -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Balatonfuredi 0
Papai Perutz 1
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Tiszakecske -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Tarpa 0
Debreceni EAC 4
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Senyo 2
Tallya 0
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/32-finals
Karancslapujto 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
Tatabanya 3
Soroksar 1
Siofok 0
Puskas Academy 3
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyor 3
BVSC-Zuglo 1
Ivancsa 0
Sopron 2
Videoton 6
Komaromi VSE 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kelen 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Felsozsolca 0
Kecskemeti TE 10
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 1
Vac 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Nyiregyhaza 1
Honved 5
Jaszberenyi 2
Balassagyarmat SE 1
Budaorsi SC 1
Vasas 3
Tokol 4
Teskand 2
Hatvan FC 0
Ferencvaros 9
Szegedi 1
Csepel 0
Cegledi 3
Kaposvar 0
Kazincbarcika 2
Szolnoki MAV 1
DVTK 2
Szentlorinc SE 1
Zalaszentgroti 0
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Gyomro 1
Paks 9
Monori 0
Csakvari 3
Bonyhad 0
Pecsi MFC 1
Sarosd NKSC 1
ESMTK Budapest 3
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Dorogi FC 0
FC Dabas 1
Haladas 2
Ajka 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Papai Perutz 1
Budafoki MTE 4
Tiszakecske 0
Ujpest 3
Debreceni EAC 0
Kisvarda FC 2
Senyo 0
MTK Budapest 7
1/16-finals
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Tatabanya 0
Puskas Academy 0
Gyor 1
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Videoton 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Kecskemeti TE 2
Debrecen 1
Zalaegerszegi 0
Honved 1
Jaszberenyi 0
Vasas 1
Tokol 0
Ferencvaros 7
Szegedi 0
Cegledi 2
Kazincbarcika 3
DVTK 2
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Paks 5
Csakvari 2
Pecsi MFC 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Bekescsaba 1912 4
Haladas 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Budafoki MTE 1
Ujpest 2
Kisvarda FC 4
MTK Budapest 1
1/8-finals
Nagykanizsa FC 2
Gyor 3
Videoton 3
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 2
Vasas 0
Ferencvaros 2
Cegledi 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Csakvari 0
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Ujpest 2
Kisvarda FC 1
Quarter-finals
Gyor 2
Videoton 1
Honved 0
Ferencvaros 1
Kazincbarcika 0
Paks 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
Ujpest 3
Semi-finals
Gyor 1
Ferencvaros 4
Paks 3
Ujpest 0
Final
Ferencvaros 3
Paks 0