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Stadium Background

Erdi vs Penzugyor SE

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Erdi Logo

Erdi

1 - 0
FT
Penzugyor SE Logo

Penzugyor SE

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Erdesz A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Erdi
20%
Draws
16%
Penzugyor SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Penzugyor SE haven't matched Erdi's recent run of results.
  • Erdi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Erdi Clean Sheet 20%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Penzugyor SE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.45 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Penzugyor SE
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Erdi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdesz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.23

Penzugyor SE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 85 / 100
Penzugyor SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Penzugyor SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erdi scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Penzugyor SE let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Penzugyor SE has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Penzugyor SE
2.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 6

Penzugyor SE

(Away)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)