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Erfurt II vs Bernburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

1 - 6
FT
Bernburg Logo

Bernburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bernburg in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bernburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erfurt II
15%
Draws
0%
Bernburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt II have won more games recently than Bernburg.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Bernburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erfurt II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 20%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Bernburg
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 0
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Bernburg
1:6
Dec 5, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Erfurt II
0:1
May 13, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Erfurt II
0:4
Nov 9, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Bernburg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 20 / 100
Bernburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Bernburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bernburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bernburg has conceded goals in 100% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bernburg has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Erfurt II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bernburg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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Bernburg

(Away)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 22 8 0 78:14 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 19 6 5 71:29 63
3 Bischofswerdaer 30 16 9 5 60:31 57
4 Jena II 30 14 7 9 72:42 49
5 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 9 9 46:34 45
6 Halle 30 12 7 11 60:50 43
7 Sandersdorf 30 12 7 11 48:48 43
8 Markranstadt 30 11 8 11 49:48 41
9 Barleben 30 11 7 12 52:47 40
10 Cottbus II 30 12 4 14 56:66 40
11 Bernburg 30 10 8 12 43:45 38
12 Plauen 30 10 7 13 47:66 37
13 Erfurt II 30 9 7 14 49:65 34
14 Schott Jena 30 10 4 16 43:68 34
15 Wismut Gera 30 5 6 19 30:66 21
16 Eisenach 30 2 2 26 17:102 8
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)