Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt II vs Bernburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bernburg in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bernburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Erfurt II
22%
Draws
60%
Bernburg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bernburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Erfurt II have won more games recently than Bernburg.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Bernburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erfurt II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 20%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Bernburg
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Bernburg
1:6
Dec 5, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Erfurt II
0:1
May 13, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Erfurt II
0:4
Nov 9, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Bernburg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 20 / 100
Bernburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Bernburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bernburg has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bernburg has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Erfurt II's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bernburg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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Bernburg

(Away)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig30228078:1474
2Inter Leipzig30196571:2963
3Bischofswerdaer30169560:3157
4Jena II30147972:4249
5Einheit Rudolstadt30129946:3445
6Halle301271160:5043
7Sandersdorf301271148:4843
8Markranstadt301181149:4841
9Barleben301171252:4740
10Cottbus II301241456:6640
11Bernburg301081243:4538
12Plauen301071347:6637
13Erfurt II30971449:6534
14Schott Jena301041643:6834
15Wismut Gera30561930:6621
16Eisenach30222617:1028
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)