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Stadium Background

Erfurt II vs Wismut Gera

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

5 - 1
FT
Wismut Gera Logo

Wismut Gera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 game between Erfurt II and Wismut Gera finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erfurt II
15%
Draws
0%
Wismut Gera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erfurt II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Erfurt II a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 20%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Wismut Gera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.63 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Wismut Gera
5:1
Oct 31, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Erfurt II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 49 / 100
Wismut Gera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Wismut Gera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wismut Gera conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Wismut Gera registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Erfurt II scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wismut Gera
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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Wismut Gera

(Away)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 22 8 0 78:14 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 19 6 5 71:29 63
3 Bischofswerdaer 30 16 9 5 60:31 57
4 Jena II 30 14 7 9 72:42 49
5 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 9 9 46:34 45
6 Halle 30 12 7 11 60:50 43
7 Sandersdorf 30 12 7 11 48:48 43
8 Markranstadt 30 11 8 11 49:48 41
9 Barleben 30 11 7 12 52:47 40
10 Cottbus II 30 12 4 14 56:66 40
11 Bernburg 30 10 8 12 43:45 38
12 Plauen 30 10 7 13 47:66 37
13 Erfurt II 30 9 7 14 49:65 34
14 Schott Jena 30 10 4 16 43:68 34
15 Wismut Gera 30 5 6 19 30:66 21
16 Eisenach 30 2 2 26 17:102 8
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)