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Erfurt vs 1. FC Schweinfurt

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Erfurt and 1. FC Schweinfurt finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erfurt
6%
Draws
4%
1. FC Schweinfurt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erfurt come out ahead of 1. FC Schweinfurt on wins alone.
  • Erfurt are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Erfurt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Schweinfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt 1. FC Schweinfurt
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
5:3
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
2:1
Jul 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
1:1
Jul 8, 2016 Club Friendly
1. FC Schweinfurt vs Erfurt
2:5
Jul 4, 2015 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 83 / 100
1. FC Schweinfurt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt 1. FC Schweinfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

1. FC Schweinfurt has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Erfurt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS 1. FC Schweinfurt
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
18 Jul
Erfurt
1 : 0
Kassel
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
10 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 0
Nurnberg II
05 Jul
Union Muhlhausen
1 : 8
Erfurt
04 Jul
Erfurt
5 : 1
Hannover II
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1. FC Schweinfurt

(Away)
11 Jul
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
1. FC Schweinfurt
03 Jul
1. FC Schweinfurt
4 : 2
Zwickau
28 Jun
Abtswind
3 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
27 Jun
Rimpar
1 : 5
1. FC Schweinfurt
24 Jun
1. FC Schweinfurt
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
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